Many key developers are still very optimistic about the future of vacation property sector. According to Mr. Le Minh Dung, Vice Managing Director of BIM Group, Vietnam recently was ranked among top 10 fastest-growing tourist destinations by United Nations World Tourism Organization.
The supply of retail space in the CBD area continues to be limited because there was not much progress made on the construction of most future supply and the launch dates of some were delayed until next year.
In Q2 2018 the HCMC market welcomed an additional 6,109 condominium units, a decrease of 36% y-o-y. However new launch supply for 1H 2018 still increased 5% compared to 1H 2017. Mid-end segment witnessed the biggest decrease in new launch in Q2, down 62% q-o-q and 52% y-o-y.
There was no new supply on the office markets in HCMC in Q2 2018. Amid stability in supply, average asking rents, as well as occupancy rates, especially for HCMC. Looking forward to the rest of 2018, the office market continues to be landlord-driven for HCMC.
The Vietnam economy continued to achieve an impressive growth in the second quarter of 2018. Vietnam’s GDP increased by 6.79% y-o-y in Q2 2018 and 7.08% y-o-y in the first half of the year, and it is the highest growth observed in the last eight years.
Only 7% of total retail supply in Hanoi is located in CBD. 2018 is expected to be an active year in Hanoi retail coming from eight under-development projects. This is the largest number of new projects ever planned for a single year. Hence, new supply causing pressure on the vacancy rate, the landlords should save larger space for anchor tenants as well as increasing the number of anchor tenants. More importantly, high-impact tenants whose products generate intense word-of-mouth marketing online should receive preferential terms.
Vietnam’s retail market has jumped to 6th place, higher than some developed markets in the region such as Singapore, Hong Kong, and Indonesia and showing high potential for further growth. Vietnam market achieved high scores in terms of market saturation with good scope for growth. Saturation in both Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City is far behind the levels seen in some other SEA cities
Commercial leasing activities will continue to be active, with rental growth and occupancy levels expected to witness sustained improvements across all property types. Meanwhile, occupiers from the traditional sectors of manufacturing, financial and tech industries retained their position representing nearly 50% of total enquiries. Sustainable demand from traditional sectors combined with the rise of new sectors of Logistics, Education, and Co-Working are expected to be key drivers which will boost net absorption.
HCMC office for lease enjoys further with rental growth and demand for office space over the next three years
The office sector in Ho Chi Minh City first quarter 2018 on a positive note. Rents improved in both cities even on the back of new supply added to the market. The improvement in performance was observed across Grade A and Grade B buildings, because of stable predicted growth in the economy and the city’s ever improving infrastructure in the form of metro lines. Projected Rental growth in 2018–2020 is a result of continuing appetite for quality supply
"As the economy had a stellar performance in 2017, Vietnam’s real estate investment scene continues to attract more and more interest from foreign investors and developers across all sectors. Vietnam’s real estate market is entering 2018 with a positive sentiment, despite some skepticisms about oversupply in the upscale residential sector, especially on secondary and rental markets."
"Q1 2018, an estimated 1,280 units of "serviced apartment" supply will enter the market by the end of 2018. In spite of the fact that landlords have enjoyed favorable market conditions with high occupancy rates and steadily increasing rental rates, Ho Chi Minh City serviced apartment market has seen increased competition from new buy-to-let apartments."
In 2018, the East and South will continue to be hotspots of the market with more new launches condominium / apartment. Within the next three years, office and retail market will be more competitive as a large amount of supply from community retail podium will be launched. Rental growth will increase at a slower pace as existing supply will remedy their rents more strategically while vacancy rate will surge up momentarily before dropping down